Quarterly Newsletter – Using History As A Guide For Investing In AI

October 30, 2026

Quarterly Newsletter - Using History As A Guide For Investing In AI

Welcome to Auscap’s October 2026 Quarterly Newsletter titled – Using History As A Guide For Investing In AI.

Artificial intelligence is highly likely to change the world as we know it, in ways that we probably will not anticipate. The same can be said for many developments that have occurred over the last few hundred years. Each development changed how people worked, communicated, shopped and were entertained, and in doing so remade entire industries and reordered which companies sat at the top of them. Artificial intelligence looks set to take its place in that lineage. The question is, does being right about a technology’s importance mean being right about whether to invest in it?

In this newsletter we discuss AI from an investment perspective, using history as a guide. We also detail the performance and portfolio positioning of the funds in September 2026.

CPD Points are available for this activity. Please see below.

Multiple Choice Test - October Quarterly Newsletter 2026

Learning Outcomes: After reading this newsletter, readers should gain an understanding of the nexus between transformational technology and investment returns based on historical examples such as the railways, electrification and the internet. Readers should be able to apply this understanding to an assessment of current AI-related investment opportunities and the durability of likely investment returns having regard to relevant considerations including competition, economic moats and capital intensity.

This activity meets the guidelines for qualifying CPD, and has been accredited for continuing professional development by the Financial Advice Association of Australia but does not constitute FAA’s endorsement of the activity. 0.5hr CPD is available for this activity.

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Question 1*
Why might investors in companies developing a transformative technology still receive disappointing overall returns?
Question 2*
Which historical example shows that a successful technology may still produce poor returns for the investors who financed its development?
Question 3*
According to the newsletter, what is Goldman Sachs' estimate of the major AI hyperscalers' combined capital expenditure in 2026?
Question 4*
Approximately how much annual AI revenue is it estimated that the major hyperscalers would need to break even on their 2026 and 2027 AI-related capital expenditure?
Question 5*
What lesson does the newsletter draw from the build-out of internet infrastructure in the late 1990s?
Question 6*
Which feature described in the newsletter may weaken the economic moats of leading AI developers?
Question 7*
How does the newsletter describe direct AI investment opportunities on the Australian share market?
Question 8*
Which statement best summarises how Auscap views AI-related investment opportunities?
Name*
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